Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Bronzed Cowbird In Oaks and Prairies
Bronzed Cowbird in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 177% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
+177%Since 1971
10Routes In Region
46Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Bronzed Cowbird has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 177% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Bronzed Cowbird in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 44% by 2029 — from 0.21 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.31 (95% range 0.00–0.99). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±503%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+44%Change by 2029
0.31Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.9995% range
±503%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.99 |
| 2026 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.99 |
| 2027 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.99 |
| 2028 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.99 |
| 2029 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.99 |
Routes In Oaks and Prairies
| Three Rivers | TEXAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Fannin | TEXAS | 5 | 2010 |
| Schroeder | TEXAS | 3 | 1994 |
| Campbellton | TEXAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Lone Oak | TEXAS | 2 | 2008 |
| Yoakum | TEXAS | 2 | 1996 |
| Brite | TEXAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Hobson | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
| Muldoon | TEXAS | 1 | 1978 |
| Lockhart | TEXAS | 1 | 1996 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.