BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue-winged Teal In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieWaterfowl

Blue-winged Teal in Shortgrass Prairie has surged: up 76% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+76%Since 1971
80Routes In Region
54Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Blue-winged Teal has surged in Shortgrass Prairie: up 76% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue-winged Teal in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 395% by 2029 — from 0.11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.54 (95% range 0.00–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±989.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+395%Change by 2029
0.54Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.595% range
±989.6%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.540.001.5
20260.540.001.5
20270.540.001.5
20280.540.001.5
20290.540.001.5

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Blue-winged Teal in Shortgrass Prairie.
CactusTEXAS502023
Hay SpringsNEBRASKA202019
BriggsdaleCOLORADO112023
BethuneCOLORADO102016
HaswellCOLORADO102006
NeegrandeCOLORADO102006
PlymellKANSAS102021
PantexTEXAS102023
FlaglerCOLORADO82023
LeotiKANSAS82015
GrenvilleNEW-MEXICO81985
KeyesOKLAHOMA72021
ClaytonvilleTEXAS72019
GruverTEXAS62019
YoderWYOMING62023
EdlerCOLORADO52014
TexlineTEXAS51999
DoughertyTEXAS52017
DalhartTEXAS52023
WaverlyCOLORADO42018
JulesburgCOLORADO42021
KarvalCOLORADO42019
GrigstonKANSAS42019
Murray LakeNEBRASKA42016
BereaNEBRASKA42019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.