BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue Grosbeak In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Blue Grosbeak in Peninsular Florida has surged: up 90% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+90%Since 1968
30Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Blue Grosbeak has surged in Peninsular Florida: up 90% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue Grosbeak in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 0.45 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.38 (95% range 0.00–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-15%Change by 2029
0.38Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.095% range
±19.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.380.001.0
20260.380.001.0
20270.380.001.0
20280.380.001.0
20290.380.001.0

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Blue Grosbeak in Peninsular Florida.
BelmoreFLORIDA82024
MabelFLORIDA52011
DeanvilleFLORIDA42015
FlemingtonFLORIDA31999
NobletonFLORIDA32024
Mabel 2FLORIDA32019
Mt. OliveFLORIDA32024
RomeoFLORIDA22024
St AugustineFLORIDA22023
San AntonioFLORIDA22023
Citrus ParkFLORIDA22013
CitrusFLORIDA22021
GoetheFLORIDA22023
Dupuis W.E.AFLORIDA21997
MicanopyFLORIDA11991
Polk CityFLORIDA11980
ScottsmoorFLORIDA12009
KenansvilleFLORIDA11992
IndiantownFLORIDA11980
Ft MccoyFLORIDA12022
Pennywash CrFLORIDA12015
Winter GardnFLORIDA12017
Island GroveFLORIDA12024
Myakka Head 2FLORIDA12017
OcalaFLORIDA11998

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.