BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-crested Titmouse In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertForest birds

Black-crested Titmouse in Chihuahuan Desert has surged: up 81% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+81%Since 1971
14Routes In Region
51Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Black-crested Titmouse has surged in Chihuahuan Desert: up 81% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black-crested Titmouse in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to fall about 36% by 2029 — from 0.55 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.35 (95% range 0.00–0.81). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±101.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-36%Change by 2029
0.35Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.8195% range
±101.9%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.350.000.80
20260.350.000.80
20270.350.000.80
20280.350.000.80
20290.350.000.81

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Black-crested Titmouse in Chihuahuan Desert.
Devils R CynTEXAS102024
Chisos BasinTEXAS52024
LongfellowTEXAS21994
ValentineTEXAS21986
Ft. DavisTEXAS22022
ComstockTEXAS12023
Hot SpringsTEXAS11968
ShafterTEXAS11978
AltudaTEXAS11973
OzonaTEXAS12022
Casa PiedraTEXAS12021
Bear MtnTEXAS12024
ToyahvaleTEXAS12018
PumpvilleTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.