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Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Black-crested Titmouse In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauForest birds

Black-crested Titmouse in Edwards Plateau has held roughly steady: down 7% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-7%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
19Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Black-crested Titmouse in Edwards Plateau. See the full index history below.

Black-crested Titmouse In Edwards Plateau Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black-crested Titmouse in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 73% by 2030 — from 12 in 2025 to a central estimate of 21 (95% range 10–32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±55.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+73%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
21Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
10–3295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±55.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Black-crested Titmouse in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 73% by 2030 — from 12 in 2025 to a central estimate of 21 (95% range 10–32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±55.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262110.032
2027211032
2028211032
2029211032
2030211032

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Black-crested Titmouse in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Allen CreekTEXAS352025
San SabaTEXAS312025
FitzhughTEXAS241983
LeanderTEXAS232006
Indian MtnTEXAS192025
LeakeyTEXAS162025
RockspringTEXAS162025
HarperTEXAS142025
Valley SpgsTEXAS122025
Pidcoke 2TEXAS122025
MontellTEXAS122025
KempnerTEXAS112025
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS102025
AdamsvilleTEXAS62025
UtopiaTEXAS32025
BoerneTEXAS22025
PidcokeTEXAS22010
GeorgetownTEXAS11985
Dripping SpgTEXAS12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.