BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-crested Titmouse In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieForest birds

Black-crested Titmouse in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has surged: up 402% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+402%Since 1969
20Routes In Region
54Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Black-crested Titmouse has surged in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: up 402% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black-crested Titmouse in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 51% by 2029 — from 0.43 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.65 (95% range 0.19–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+51%Change by 2029
0.65Projected 2029 index
0.19–1.195% range
±33.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.620.161.1
20260.630.171.1
20270.640.171.1
20280.650.181.1
20290.650.191.1

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Black-crested Titmouse in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
Shields 2TEXAS232023
ShieldsTEXAS92001
Pear ValleyTEXAS72024
EldoradoTEXAS72023
WinchellTEXAS52024
ClarendonTEXAS32024
ChildressTEXAS32024
HaskellTEXAS32024
Beaver CreekTEXAS32022
GraybackTEXAS21984
HackberryTEXAS22024
Mertzon 2TEXAS22024
HawleyTEXAS22024
WilliamsTEXAS22024
LakeviewTEXAS22023
HollisOKLAHOMA12016
WeinertTEXAS11994
MertzonTEXAS12018
RotanTEXAS11976
SilverTEXAS12022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.