Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-capped Vireo In Edwards Plateau
Black-capped Vireo in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 675% on the route-weighted index since 1978.
+675%Since 1978
11Routes In Region
46Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-capped Vireo has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 675% on the route-weighted index since 1978.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Black-capped Vireo in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 2.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.1 (95% range 1.4–4.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+19%Change by 2029
3.1Projected 2029 index
1.4–4.895% range
±30.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 4.6 |
| 2026 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 4.7 |
| 2027 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 4.7 |
| 2028 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 4.8 |
| 2029 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 4.8 |
Routes In Edwards Plateau
| Allen Creek | TEXAS | 16 | 2024 |
| Indian Mtn | TEXAS | 15 | 2024 |
| San Saba | TEXAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Leakey | TEXAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Dripping Spg | TEXAS | 2 | 1985 |
| Utopia | TEXAS | 1 | 2023 |
| Harper | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
| Pidcoke 2 | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
| Montell | TEXAS | 1 | 2023 |
| Prairie Mtn. | TEXAS | 1 | 2013 |
| Rockspring | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.