BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-and-white Warbler In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesForest birds

Black-and-white Warbler in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 221% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

+221%Since 1973
33Routes In Region
52Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Black-and-white Warbler has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 221% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black-and-white Warbler in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 0.17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.20 (95% range 0.09–0.31). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+17%Change by 2029
0.20Projected 2029 index
0.09–0.3195% range
±19.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.190.080.29
20260.190.080.30
20270.190.090.30
20280.200.090.30
20290.200.090.31

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Black-and-white Warbler in Oaks and Prairies.
HeyburnOKLAHOMA42024
NobleOKLAHOMA32024
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA22021
Glen RoseTEXAS22023
Wills PointTEXAS22014
Whit Mtn.TEXAS22014
Mill CreekOKLAHOMA12012
ArdmoreOKLAHOMA11991
BeggsOKLAHOMA12001
ChoctawOKLAHOMA12008
BartlesvilleOKLAHOMA12010
TatumsOKLAHOMA12024
DuncanOKLAHOMA12021
SkiatookOKLAHOMA12015
MuldoonTEXAS12013
Lone OakTEXAS12002
Oak GroveTEXAS11983
GauseTEXAS11997
Massey LakeTEXAS12023
OakwoodTEXAS11975
OlaTEXAS12002
SeldenTEXAS12021
CottonwoodTEXAS12022
LydiaTEXAS12023
SadlerTEXAS12022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.