BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Barn Swallow In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsAerial insectivores

Barn Swallow in Central Hardwoods has declined: down 36% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-36%Since 1968
163Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Barn Swallow in Central Hardwoods. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Barn Swallow in Central Hardwoods is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 18 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 9.9–23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±4.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-12%Change by 2029
16Projected 2029 index
9.9–2395% range
±4.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025171124
2026171123
2027171023
2028161023
2029169.923

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Barn Swallow in Central Hardwoods.
RichlandMISSOURI1042021
SyracuseMISSOURI882024
MillerMISSOURI742024
CelestineINDIANA732024
FarwellARKANSAS642018
CampbellsvilleTENNESSEE622019
GlencoeKENTUCKY602022
Cole CampMISSOURI541990
PlumKENTUCKY502024
PetersburgTENNESSEE492019
LeveeKENTUCKY481982
BoxvilleKENTUCKY481983
White HouseTENNESSEE482019
CollinwoodTENNESSEE462024
CentertownMISSOURI442024
EugeneMISSOURI422024
GlenTENNESSEE422024
SwaimALABAMA412024
JohnsonvilleKENTUCKY412021
TullahomaTENNESSEE412015
BremenILLINOIS392024
BelknapILLINOIS392024
New PhilaINDIANA382024
RoyaltonILLINOIS372024
SpencerINDIANA362024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.