BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Barn Swallow In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionAerial insectivores

Barn Swallow in Prairie Hardwood Transition has increased: up 41% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+41%Since 1968
161Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Barn Swallow in Prairie Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Barn Swallow in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 23 in 2024 to a central estimate of 26 (95% range 18–34). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+12%Change by 2029
26Projected 2029 index
18–3495% range
±31.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025251833
2026261833
2027261833
2028261834
2029261834

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Barn Swallow in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
KielWISCONSIN932022
EllisINDIANA792024
LapeerMICHIGAN792024
ClintonvilleWISCONSIN702024
PackertownINDIANA602004
Drayton PlnsMICHIGAN561987
EdenWISCONSIN562024
OwendaleMICHIGAN552017
OmroWISCONSIN552001
HollandWISCONSIN542024
Mukwonago 2WISCONSIN532024
PardeevilleWISCONSIN502024
Hazel GreenWISCONSIN502024
ManitowocWISCONSIN472024
St StephenMINNESOTA462016
LagrangeINDIANA452024
GreshamWISCONSIN452024
MiddleburyINDIANA442024
MukwonagoWISCONSIN442004
N FreedomWISCONSIN432024
Pt WashingtnWISCONSIN432024
HoltMICHIGAN422024
Fall RiverWISCONSIN422024
BeloitWISCONSIN422024
Le CenterMINNESOTA412023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.