BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Barn Swallow In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieAerial insectivores

Barn Swallow in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has increased: up 27% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+27%Since 1968
278Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Barn Swallow in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Barn Swallow in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 26 (95% range 20–32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+4%Change by 2029
26Projected 2029 index
20–3295% range
±19.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025262032
2026262032
2027262032
2028262032
2029262032

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Barn Swallow in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
BelleviewILLINOIS952024
SheffieldILLINOIS742024
WilmingtonOHIO721996
AtkinsonILLINOIS712024
MelroseILLINOIS681999
BrookvilleINDIANA682024
SextonINDIANA642024
EmdenMISSOURI562024
WelchOKLAHOMA562024
FairburyILLINOIS542024
NeolaIOWA522016
Cedar ValleyIOWA511997
Terre HauteILLINOIS502024
PittsburgKANSAS502021
Marion 2OHIO502024
KunkleOHIO492024
Harveysburg 2OHIO492024
EldredILLINOIS482021
LyonsNEBRASKA482024
JohnsonNEBRASKA472024
Queen CityMISSOURI462022
PontiacILLINOIS452024
MillwoodMISSOURI452024
KirksvilleMISSOURI452024
LucerneMISSOURI452021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.