BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Band-tailed Pigeon In Northern Pacific Rainforest

All regionsNorthern Pacific RainforestForest birds

Band-tailed Pigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest has held roughly steady: up 6% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+6%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
122Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Band-tailed Pigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest. See the full index history below.

Band-tailed Pigeon In Northern Pacific Rainforest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Band-tailed Pigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 30% by 2030 — from 6.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.8 (95% range 1.8–7.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-30%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.8Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.8–7.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±36.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Band-tailed Pigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 30% by 2030 — from 6.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.8 (95% range 1.8–7.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20264.81.77.8
20274.81.77.9
20284.81.87.9
20294.81.87.9
20304.81.87.9

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording Band-tailed Pigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
FisherOREGON542010
RaymondWASHINGTON412021
SaladoOREGON392025
Raymond 2WASHINGTON382024
OzetteWASHINGTON352025
Redwood N.P.CALIFORNIA282010
TaholahWASHINGTON252022
GreenwaterWASHINGTON252025
MontesandWASHINGTON252024
Crescent CtyCALIFORNIA242025
Harlan 2OREGON232025
AdairOREGON222025
HarlanOREGON222009
SantiamOREGON222025
Klickitat MtOREGON211996
WaldportOREGON202001
UkiahCALIFORNIA192011
UmpquaOREGON192025
WinberryOREGON192023
Lobster CreekOREGON192025
HoneydewCALIFORNIA162017
Nicolai Mtn.OREGON162025
CarnationWASHINGTON162023
KorbelCALIFORNIA152025
Fisher 2OREGON152025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.