BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Band-tailed Pigeon In Northern Pacific Rainforest

All regionsNorthern Pacific RainforestGeneralists

Band-tailed Pigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest has held roughly steady: up 7% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+7%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
121Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Band-tailed Pigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Band-tailed Pigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 5.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.7 (95% range 1.6–7.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.7Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.6–7.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±32.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Band-tailed Pigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 5.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.7 (95% range 1.6–7.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20254.61.67.6
20264.61.67.7
20274.61.67.7
20284.61.67.7
20294.71.67.7

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording Band-tailed Pigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
FisherOREGON542010
RaymondWASHINGTON412021
Raymond 2WASHINGTON382024
AdairOREGON372024
OzetteWASHINGTON322024
Redwood N.P.CALIFORNIA282010
Port AngelesWASHINGTON272024
Pe EllWASHINGTON262023
TaholahWASHINGTON252022
MontesandWASHINGTON252024
HarlanOREGON222009
Klickitat MtOREGON211996
WaldportOREGON202001
UkiahCALIFORNIA192011
WinberryOREGON192023
Nicolai Mtn.OREGON172024
CanbyOREGON172024
HoneydewCALIFORNIA162017
CoquilleOREGON162024
CarnationWASHINGTON162023
LoraneOREGON152024
Riley PeakOREGON152016
Hurricane RgWASHINGTON152024
Hazel CampOREGON142022
GlasgowOREGON132024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.