BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Audubon's Oriole Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

Audubon's Oriole in Texas has surged: up 664% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+664%Since 1970
27Routes In State
52Years

Notable Audubon's Oriole Trends in Texas

long arc increasecomputed index

Audubon's Oriole has surged in Texas: up 664% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Audubon's Oriole Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Audubon's Oriole in Texas is projected to rise about 69% by 2029 — from 0.11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.19 (95% range 0.08–0.29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±130.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+69%Change by 2029
0.19Projected 2029 index
0.08–0.2995% range
±130.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.170.070.28
20260.180.070.28
20270.180.070.29
20280.180.080.29
20290.190.080.29

Audubon's Oriole Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Audubon's Oriole in Texas.
Encinal1120101970
Millett 2720242013
Laredo520191995
Millett520121996
Zapata419871974
Guerra420231988
San Ygnacio319721967
George West320241974
Sejita320242008
Catarina 3320232018
El Sauz320231993
Catarina 2320172011
Agua Nueva220231979
Campbellton220232000
Catarina220101995
Cavasara Cr.220122008
Rachal120161990
Kingsville120071982
Randado120221969
Mirando City120222018
Hobson120242012
Hondo120232021
Three Rivers120242000
Brite120062006
Encinal 2120242011

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.