BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Redstart In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionForest birds

American Redstart in Prairie Hardwood Transition has surged: up 315% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+315%Since 1968
152Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

American Redstart has surged in Prairie Hardwood Transition: up 315% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 3.4 (95% range 2.6–4.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-6%Change by 2029
3.4Projected 2029 index
2.6–4.195% range
±19.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.22.43.9
20263.22.54.0
20273.32.54.0
20283.32.64.1
20293.42.64.1

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording American Redstart in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
CumberlandWISCONSIN272024
Brook ParkMINNESOTA212024
Caledonia 2MINNESOTA202024
GreshamWISCONSIN202024
WhitewaterMINNESOTA182000
EsdaileWISCONSIN162024
Stevens PtWISCONSIN162023
Prairie Du ChienWISCONSIN142024
Chippewa Lk.MICHIGAN122024
GuilfordILLINOIS112023
Sherburne NrMINNESOTA112024
MerrillWISCONSIN112024
ScottvilleMICHIGAN102024
GilmantonWISCONSIN102024
MatherWISCONSIN102023
AshbyMINNESOTA92021
HatfieldWISCONSIN91998
St StephenMINNESOTA82016
N FreedomWISCONSIN82024
No BradleyMICHIGAN72024
Wis RapidsWISCONSIN72023
ViroquaWISCONSIN72024
PardeevilleWISCONSIN72024
Barry S.G.A.MICHIGAN62012
KnappMINNESOTA62024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.