BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Redstart In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieForest birds

American Redstart in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has surged: up 173% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+173%Since 1968
119Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

American Redstart has surged in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: up 173% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 26% by 2029 — from 0.28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.20 (95% range 0.10–0.31). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-26%Change by 2029
0.20Projected 2029 index
0.10–0.3195% range
±18.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.190.090.30
20260.200.090.30
20270.200.100.30
20280.200.100.30
20290.200.100.31

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording American Redstart in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
WallaceINDIANA122024
AshleyOHIO101996
MaquoketaIOWA62024
ThurstonNEBRASKA62024
St MorganILLINOIS52022
West LibertyIOWA42024
FrontenacMINNESOTA42024
Mascoutah LkILLINOIS32024
Lake SummersetILLINOIS32019
KahokaMISSOURI31967
River FallsWISCONSIN32022
SheffieldILLINOIS22024
NewarkILLINOIS22018
MonicaILLINOIS22016
ShannonILLINOIS22023
DarmstadtILLINOIS22021
UnionILLINOIS22017
GaryINDIANA21981
ShelbyvilleINDIANA22013
Cedar ValleyIOWA21995
LafayetteIOWA22024
Rock CreekKANSAS21994
Ash CreekMINNESOTA22019
BolckowMISSOURI21986
TarkioMISSOURI21970

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.