BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Goldfinch In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsGeneralists

American Goldfinch in Appalachian Mountains has edged down: down 22% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-22%Since 1968
404Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for American Goldfinch in Appalachian Mountains. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Goldfinch in Appalachian Mountains is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 7.3–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2029
11Projected 2029 index
7.3–1595% range
±13.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025117.415
2026117.415
2027117.315
2028117.315
2029117.315

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording American Goldfinch in Appalachian Mountains.
Rural RetrtVIRGINIA762024
McdonoughNEW-YORK552017
DrydenNEW-YORK522024
Nat TunnelVIRGINIA512024
BlacksburgVIRGINIA462024
ScheafferstnPENNSYLVANIA442001
Brunnerville 2PENNSYLVANIA422024
SmithfieldOHIO392024
StonecreekOHIO392024
New MarketVIRGINIA392024
StaffordsvilKENTUCKY381997
CooperstownNEW-YORK381977
Natural BridVIRGINIA382024
StollingsWEST-VIRGINIA382021
JenningsMARYLAND362024
ClimerTENNESSEE362004
SturgillsNORTH-CAROLINA352024
CovingtonVIRGINIA352024
DrehersvillePENNSYLVANIA341999
WolfsvilleMARYLAND332024
Kemah LakeNEW-JERSEY332024
BetulaPENNSYLVANIA332022
Front RoyalVIRGINIA332024
WaterstreetPENNSYLVANIA322024
WallandTENNESSEE321989

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.