Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Crow In Prairie Potholes
American Crow in Prairie Potholes has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-55%Since 1969
116Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
American Crow has fallen sharply in Prairie Potholes: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Prairie Potholes is projected to rise about 47% by 2029 — from 5.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.5 (95% range 1.7–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±75%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+47%Change by 2029
8.5Projected 2029 index
1.7–1595% range
±75%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9.1 | 2.4 | 16 |
| 2026 | 9.0 | 2.2 | 16 |
| 2027 | 8.8 | 2.0 | 16 |
| 2028 | 8.7 | 1.9 | 15 |
| 2029 | 8.5 | 1.7 | 15 |
Routes In Prairie Potholes
| Grygla | MINNESOTA | 51 | 2017 |
| Oklee | MINNESOTA | 39 | 2021 |
| Midway | NEBRASKA | 38 | 2023 |
| Badger | MINNESOTA | 37 | 2018 |
| Emerado | NORTH-DAKOTA | 37 | 2024 |
| Turtle Mtns | NORTH-DAKOTA | 36 | 2024 |
| Beltrami | MINNESOTA | 33 | 2024 |
| Kempton | NORTH-DAKOTA | 32 | 2017 |
| Zearing | IOWA | 31 | 1995 |
| Erie | MINNESOTA | 30 | 2017 |
| Nash | NORTH-DAKOTA | 26 | 2017 |
| Lake Bronson | MINNESOTA | 25 | 2011 |
| Franklin | MINNESOTA | 25 | 2024 |
| Wylie | MINNESOTA | 22 | 2024 |
| Eagle Creek | NEBRASKA | 22 | 2024 |
| Maynard | MINNESOTA | 21 | 2015 |
| Courtland | MINNESOTA | 20 | 2024 |
| Abercrombie | NORTH-DAKOTA | 20 | 2012 |
| Garner | IOWA | 18 | 1993 |
| Huntley | MINNESOTA | 17 | 2024 |
| Arlington | MINNESOTA | 17 | 2024 |
| Fairmont | MINNESOTA | 17 | 2023 |
| Panther | IOWA | 15 | 2024 |
| Tracy | MINNESOTA | 15 | 2024 |
| Bowesmont 2 | NORTH-DAKOTA | 15 | 2016 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.