Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Bittern Population Trend in Minnesota
American Bittern in Minnesota has fallen sharply: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-74%Since 1969
75Routes In State
57Years
Notable American Bittern Trends in Minnesota
long arc declinecomputed index
American Bittern has fallen sharply in Minnesota: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
American Bittern Population Forecast in Minnesota
If the recent trend holds, American Bittern in Minnesota is projected to fall about 71% by 2029 — from 0.33 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.09 (95% range 0.00–0.70). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±53.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-71%Change by 2029
0.09Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.7095% range
±53.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.76 |
| 2026 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.75 |
| 2027 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.73 |
| 2028 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.72 |
| 2029 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.70 |
American Bittern Survey Routes in Minnesota
| Bemidji | 13 | 1967 | 1967 |
| Chisholm | 9 | 2024 | 2023 |
| Bigfork | 6 | 2021 | 1999 |
| Greenbush | 5 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Sherry Lake | 4 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Lake Bronson | 4 | 2011 | 1979 |
| Grygla | 3 | 2011 | 1979 |
| Nett Lake | 3 | 2018 | 2016 |
| Sherburne Nr | 2 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Chandler | 2 | 1984 | 1969 |
| Courtland | 2 | 1991 | 1978 |
| Maynard | 2 | 1969 | 1969 |
| Princeton | 2 | 1990 | 1969 |
| Chokio | 2 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Mille Lacs | 2 | 2015 | 1968 |
| Pine River | 2 | 2015 | 1969 |
| Tenney | 2 | 1980 | 1980 |
| Hovland | 2 | 2019 | 1976 |
| Sawbill Lndg | 2 | 2019 | 1989 |
| Erie | 2 | 2010 | 1979 |
| Chokio North | 2 | 2014 | 1993 |
| Bagley | 2 | 1998 | 1995 |
| Warroad | 2 | 2016 | 1993 |
| Money Creek | 1 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Hartland | 1 | 2012 | 2012 |
American Bittern Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.