BirdAnalyst
Guild · Colorado · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wetland Birds In Colorado

All statesColorado

18 species in this guild. As a group they are +166%Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology → since 1970.

Guild SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for wetland birds in Colorado. See the full index history below.

Wetland Birds In Colorado Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wetland birds in Colorado is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.88 (95% range 0.31–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.6%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-22%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.88Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.31–1.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±47.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wetland birds in Colorado is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.88 (95% range 0.31–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.6%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.830.261.4
20260.840.271.4
20270.850.281.4
20280.870.291.4
20290.880.311.5

Member Species In Colorado

Wetland birds species in Colorado.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
Black-crowned Night HeronArdeidae-94%
White-faced IbisThreskiornithidae-94%
American BitternArdeidae-81%
Forster's TernLaridae-77%
Virginia RailRallidae-73%
Snowy EgretArdeidae-65%
Pied-billed GrebePodicipedidae-27%
American CootRallidae-7%
Black TernLaridae-6%
Western GrebePodicipedidae+3%
Eared GrebePodicipedidae+15%
Ring-billed GullLaridae+59%
SoraRallidae+77%
Sandhill CraneGruidae+165%
Great Blue HeronArdeidae+219%
Double-crested CormorantPhalacrocoracidae19×
American White PelicanPelecanidae33×
California GullLaridae148×

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.