Guild · Washington · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Arid-land Birds In Washington
3 species in this guild. As a group they are +84% since 1970.
Guild Signals
No notable trend signals for arid-land birds in Washington. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Arid-land birds in Washington is projected to rise about 62% by 2029 — from 0.46 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.74 (95% range 0.00–3.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+62%Change by 2029
0.74Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.295% range
±52.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 3.2 |
| 2026 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 3.2 |
| 2027 | 0.74 | 0.00 | 3.2 |
| 2028 | 0.74 | 0.00 | 3.2 |
| 2029 | 0.74 | 0.00 | 3.2 |
Member Species In Washington
| Sagebrush Sparrow | Passerellidae | -8% |
| Sage Thrasher | Mimidae | +89% |
| Brewer's Sparrow | Passerellidae | +302% |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.