Guild · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Arid-land Birds In Oklahoma

3 species in this guild. As a group they are +47% since 1969.

Guild Signals

No notable trend signals for arid-land birds in Oklahoma. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Arid-land birds in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 70% by 2029 — from 0.22 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.37 (95% range 0.10–0.65). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+70%Change by 2029

0.37Projected 2029 index

0.10–0.6595% range

±48%Backtest error

Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.

Year	Projected index	95% low	95% high
2025	0.36	0.08	0.63
2026	0.36	0.09	0.64
2027	0.36	0.09	0.64
2028	0.37	0.09	0.64
2029	0.37	0.10	0.65

Member Species In Oklahoma

Arid-land birds species in Oklahoma.

Curve-billed Thrasher	Mimidae	-5%
Greater Roadrunner	Cuculidae	+37%
Rufous-crowned Sparrow	Passerellidae	+269%

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.