BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-throated Warbler In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastForest birds

Yellow-throated Warbler in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has surged: up 756% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+756%Since 1968
51Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Yellow-throated Warbler has surged in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: up 756% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Warbler in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to fall about 42% by 2029 — from 0.96 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.56 (95% range 0.19–0.93). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61.1%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-42%Change by 2029
0.56Projected 2029 index
0.19–0.9395% range
±61.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.520.150.89
20260.530.160.90
20270.540.170.91
20280.550.180.92
20290.560.190.93

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Yellow-throated Warbler in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
BrandonVIRGINIA212024
Island CreekMARYLAND162024
Colonial PkyVIRGINIA101992
TruhartVIRGINIA92024
Cape CharlesVIRGINIA92006
CokesburyMARYLAND72024
QuinbyVIRGINIA72022
WalkersVIRGINIA72023
Furnace TownMARYLAND62024
GloucesterVIRGINIA52023
SinepuxentMARYLAND41969
DavidsnvilleMARYLAND42023
IndiantownMARYLAND42014
Estell ManorNEW-JERSEY42022
Milton 2DELAWARE32017
Port RoyalVIRGINIA32019
HolleyvilleDELAWARE21995
Piney NeckMARYLAND21972
Forest GroveMARYLAND22022
Pr FrederickMARYLAND22024
Six PointsNEW-JERSEY22024
Bennett Mill 2NEW-JERSEY22024
White StoneVIRGINIA22024
HarringtonDELAWARE12024
FredericaDELAWARE11993

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.