Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow-throated Warbler In Appalachian Mountains
Yellow-throated Warbler in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 284% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+284%Since 1968
214Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Yellow-throated Warbler has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 284% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Warbler in Appalachian Mountains is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.9 (95% range 1.6–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+7%Change by 2029
1.9Projected 2029 index
1.6–2.395% range
±8.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| 2027 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 2028 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 2029 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
Routes In Appalachian Mountains
| Cumberlnd Gp | KENTUCKY | 35 | 2018 |
| Stollings | WEST-VIRGINIA | 33 | 2021 |
| Fontana | NORTH-CAROLINA | 26 | 2024 |
| Strange Crk | WEST-VIRGINIA | 22 | 2024 |
| Hanover | WEST-VIRGINIA | 21 | 2024 |
| Borden Springs 2 | ALABAMA | 17 | 2024 |
| Clear Creek | WEST-VIRGINIA | 17 | 2024 |
| Beattyville 2 | KENTUCKY | 16 | 2024 |
| Mcfarland | TENNESSEE | 16 | 1993 |
| Josephs Mill | WEST-VIRGINIA | 16 | 2024 |
| Isom | VIRGINIA | 15 | 2024 |
| Welch | WEST-VIRGINIA | 15 | 2022 |
| Sutton | WEST-VIRGINIA | 15 | 2024 |
| Monticello | KENTUCKY | 14 | 2022 |
| Nicut | WEST-VIRGINIA | 14 | 2024 |
| Brevard | NORTH-CAROLINA | 13 | 2024 |
| Elk Valley | TENNESSEE | 13 | 2022 |
| Oliver Spgs | TENNESSEE | 13 | 2022 |
| Ghent | WEST-VIRGINIA | 13 | 2024 |
| Cedarville | WEST-VIRGINIA | 12 | 2023 |
| Mountain Cty | GEORGIA | 11 | 2024 |
| Mecca | TENNESSEE | 11 | 2023 |
| Pine Ridge | KENTUCKY | 9 | 1978 |
| Tar Hollow | OHIO | 9 | 2024 |
| Pine Mtn. | VIRGINIA | 9 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.