Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow-throated Warbler In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
Yellow-throated Warbler in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 211% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+211%Since 1969
36Routes In Region
55Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Yellow-throated Warbler has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 211% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Warbler in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 15% by 2029 — from 0.30 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.35 (95% range 0.09–0.61). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+15%Change by 2029
0.35Projected 2029 index
0.09–0.6195% range
±26.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.33 | 0.07 | 0.59 |
| 2026 | 0.34 | 0.07 | 0.60 |
| 2027 | 0.34 | 0.08 | 0.60 |
| 2028 | 0.34 | 0.08 | 0.60 |
| 2029 | 0.35 | 0.09 | 0.61 |
Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
| Kraemer | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2024 |
| Bardwell 2 | KENTUCKY | 3 | 2024 |
| Freetown | LOUISIANA | 3 | 1999 |
| Dundee | MISSISSIPPI | 3 | 2021 |
| Commerce | MISSISSIPPI | 3 | 1981 |
| Hughes | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2023 |
| South Bend | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2009 |
| Crowley'S Ridge | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2021 |
| Morgan City | LOUISIANA | 2 | 1976 |
| Gibson | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2001 |
| Berwick | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2011 |
| Morgan City | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2013 |
| Isola | MISSISSIPPI | 2 | 2021 |
| Harrisburg | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1974 |
| Augusta | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1992 |
| Saffell | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2014 |
| England | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2024 |
| Wilson | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2011 |
| Bardwell | KENTUCKY | 1 | 2003 |
| Roseland | LOUISIANA | 1 | 1992 |
| Shaw | LOUISIANA | 1 | 1990 |
| Rayville | LOUISIANA | 1 | 1988 |
| Ramah | LOUISIANA | 1 | 2024 |
| Gonzales | LOUISIANA | 1 | 2011 |
| Frogmore | LOUISIANA | 1 | 1999 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.