Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow-throated Warbler In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
Yellow-throated Warbler in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has surged: up 110% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+110%Since 1969
90Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Yellow-throated Warbler has surged in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 110% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Warbler in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.87 (95% range 0.55–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+1%Change by 2029
0.87Projected 2029 index
0.55–1.295% range
±25.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.84 | 0.52 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.85 | 0.52 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.86 | 0.53 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.86 | 0.54 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 0.87 | 0.55 | 1.2 |
Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
| Ivan 2 | LOUISIANA | 11 | 2016 |
| Poyen | ARKANSAS | 5 | 2007 |
| Princeton | ARKANSAS | 5 | 2021 |
| Goodwater | OKLAHOMA | 5 | 2021 |
| Old Milo | ARKANSAS | 4 | 2009 |
| Massard | ARKANSAS | 4 | 2014 |
| Bethel | OKLAHOMA | 4 | 2024 |
| Locust Bayou | ARKANSAS | 3 | 2023 |
| Stephens | ARKANSAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Hatfield 2 | ARKANSAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Four Lakes | ARKANSAS | 3 | 2001 |
| Easton | LOUISIANA | 3 | 1989 |
| Marion | LOUISIANA | 3 | 1990 |
| Blanco | OKLAHOMA | 3 | 2016 |
| Mt. Herman | OKLAHOMA | 3 | 2022 |
| Hee Mountain | OKLAHOMA | 3 | 2024 |
| Diboll | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Big Sandy Bith | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Neches Bith | TEXAS | 3 | 2017 |
| Hope | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Hollywood | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Coal Hill | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Sims | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Springhill | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2022 |
| Nance | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2023 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.