Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow-throated Warbler In Central Hardwoods
Yellow-throated Warbler in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 352% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+352%Since 1968
146Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Yellow-throated Warbler has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 352% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Warbler in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 23% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 1.5–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+23%Change by 2029
1.8Projected 2029 index
1.5–2.195% range
±8.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 2026 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| 2027 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| 2028 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| 2029 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
Routes In Central Hardwoods
| Hoosier | INDIANA | 9 | 2024 |
| Hegira | KENTUCKY | 9 | 2024 |
| Levee 2 | KENTUCKY | 9 | 2019 |
| Collinwood | TENNESSEE | 9 | 2024 |
| Wrigley | TENNESSEE | 8 | 2022 |
| Silver Pt | TENNESSEE | 8 | 2024 |
| Indian Mound 2 | TENNESSEE | 8 | 2023 |
| Carter Grove | ALABAMA | 6 | 2019 |
| Osage Beach | MISSOURI | 6 | 2024 |
| Pond Creek | TENNESSEE | 6 | 2024 |
| Trace Lewis | TENNESSEE | 6 | 2017 |
| Swaim | ALABAMA | 5 | 2024 |
| Avoca | ARKANSAS | 5 | 2023 |
| Drakesboro | KENTUCKY | 5 | 1990 |
| Mammoth Cave | KENTUCKY | 5 | 2014 |
| Centerville | MISSOURI | 5 | 2024 |
| Rome | OHIO | 5 | 2024 |
| Belmont | INDIANA | 4 | 2024 |
| Corydon | INDIANA | 4 | 2024 |
| Canton | KENTUCKY | 4 | 2023 |
| Johnsonville | KENTUCKY | 4 | 2021 |
| Cascade | MISSOURI | 4 | 2024 |
| Williamsvill | MISSOURI | 4 | 2024 |
| Crane | MISSOURI | 4 | 2024 |
| Indian Mound | TENNESSEE | 4 | 1991 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.