BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Yellow-throated Vireo In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastForest birds

Yellow-throated Vireo in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has surged: up 135% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+135%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
131Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Yellow-throated Vireo has surged in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: up 135% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Yellow-throated Vireo In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 1.3 (95% range 0.91–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-8%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.3Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.91–1.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±19.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 1.3 (95% range 0.91–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.30.851.7
20271.30.861.7
20281.30.881.7
20291.30.891.7
20301.30.911.7

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Yellow-throated Vireo in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
BrandonVIRGINIA192025
Woodstock 2CONNECTICUT122025
TruhartVIRGINIA122024
Casimir Pulaski SfRHODE-ISLAND102018
WalkersVIRGINIA92023
WillimanticCONNECTICUT72018
PomfretMARYLAND72024
BelchertownMASSACHUSETTS62025
GranbyCONNECTICUT52025
FrankfordDELAWARE51991
Forest GroveMARYLAND52023
JessupMARYLAND52025
Warren 2MASSACHUSETTS52025
PulaskiRHODE-ISLAND51992
GloucesterVIRGINIA52025
WarrenCONNECTICUT42011
Long HillCONNECTICUT42019
IndiantownMARYLAND42014
S BarreMASSACHUSETTS42025
East KingstonNEW-HAMPSHIRE42024
Wallum LakeRHODE-ISLAND42025
E HartlandCONNECTICUT31992
UncasvilleCONNECTICUT32025
Warren 2CONNECTICUT32025
Island CreekMARYLAND32024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.