BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-headed Blackbird In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieGeneralists

Yellow-headed Blackbird in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-55%Since 1969
52Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Yellow-headed Blackbird has fallen sharply in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-headed Blackbird in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to fall about 59% by 2029 — from 2.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.91 (95% range 0.00–2.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-59%Change by 2029
0.91Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.895% range
±46%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.10.002.9
20261.00.002.9
20270.980.002.9
20280.950.002.8
20290.910.002.8

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Yellow-headed Blackbird in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
Wheeler CoNEBRASKA592024
Crescent LkNEBRASKA442017
NenzelNEBRASKA432024
Swan LakeNEBRASKA92023
Piester LakeNEBRASKA82024
KennedyNEBRASKA82024
GordonNEBRASKA82024
HamptonNEBRASKA82019
ArthurNEBRASKA72024
LookoutOKLAHOMA71977
StrattonNEBRASKA62016
TableNEBRASKA62012
JewellKANSAS41979
BrownleeNEBRASKA42024
BassettNEBRASKA42024
SutherlandNEBRASKA42024
AlbertKANSAS32024
SumnerNEBRASKA31994
GrayKANSAS21998
CovertKANSAS22012
PhillipsburgKANSAS21999
BerwetKANSAS22003
LibertyNEBRASKA22000
SurpriseNEBRASKA22016
BradyNEBRASKA22015

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.