Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow-breasted Chat In Northern Pacific Rainforest
Yellow-breasted Chat in Northern Pacific Rainforest has declined: down 47% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-47%Since 1970
66Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Yellow-breasted Chat in Northern Pacific Rainforest. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.94 (95% range 0.01–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-19%Change by 2029
0.94Projected 2029 index
0.01–1.995% range
±14.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.1 | 0.15 | 2.0 |
| 2026 | 1.0 | 0.12 | 2.0 |
| 2027 | 1.0 | 0.08 | 1.9 |
| 2028 | 0.98 | 0.05 | 1.9 |
| 2029 | 0.94 | 0.01 | 1.9 |
Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest
| Horse Creek | CALIFORNIA | 48 | 2019 |
| Elkton | OREGON | 16 | 2024 |
| Umpqua | OREGON | 15 | 2024 |
| Hay Fork | CALIFORNIA | 12 | 2016 |
| Lonesome Rdg | CALIFORNIA | 11 | 2014 |
| Orleans | CALIFORNIA | 10 | 2012 |
| Secret Val | OREGON | 10 | 2022 |
| Longvale | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 2023 |
| Lorane | OREGON | 7 | 2024 |
| Green | OREGON | 6 | 2024 |
| Rio Dell | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2008 |
| Shasta Lake | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Days Creek | OREGON | 5 | 2024 |
| Emigrant Lk | OREGON | 5 | 1992 |
| Ruch | OREGON | 5 | 2023 |
| Sams Valley | OREGON | 4 | 2024 |
| Salem | OREGON | 4 | 2024 |
| Holmes | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Junction Cty | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2012 |
| Alderpoint | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2012 |
| Whiskeytown | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2007 |
| Santiam | OREGON | 3 | 2024 |
| Crescent Cty | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Honeydew | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2017 |
| Hullville | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2019 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.