BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-breasted Chat In Tamaulipan Brushlands

All regionsTamaulipan BrushlandsGeneralists

Yellow-breasted Chat in Tamaulipan Brushlands has surged: up 169% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

+169%Since 1975
13Routes In Region
27Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Yellow-breasted Chat has surged in Tamaulipan Brushlands: up 169% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to rise about 705% by 2028 — from 0.06 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.47 (95% range 0.02–0.93). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±159.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+705%Change by 2028
0.47Projected 2028 index
0.02–0.9395% range
±159.7%Backtest error
19692028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.450.000.91
20250.460.000.91
20260.460.010.92
20270.470.010.92
20280.470.020.93

Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in Tamaulipan Brushlands.
Pedro CreekTEXAS82010
Millett 2TEXAS42022
Catarina 2TEXAS22017
LaredoTEXAS22006
Agua NuevaTEXAS11969
EncinalTEXAS12001
George WestTEXAS12022
CatarinaTEXAS12010
La PryorTEXAS11971
HondoTEXAS12023
El IndioTEXAS12001
RaymondvilleTEXAS11994
SejitaTEXAS11994

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.