BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 33 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-breasted Chat In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

All regionsSonoran and Mojave DesertsGeneralists

Yellow-breasted Chat in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts has surged: up 182% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

+182%Since 1973
27Routes In Region
51Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Yellow-breasted Chat has surged in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts: up 182% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts is projected to rise about 36% by 2029 — from 0.60 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.82 (95% range 0.39–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±99.9%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+36%Change by 2029
0.82Projected 2029 index
0.39–1.295% range
±99.9%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.770.351.2
20260.790.361.2
20270.800.371.2
20280.810.381.2
20290.820.391.2

Routes In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts.
Cutter 2ARIZONA172018
Ash MeadowsNEVADA162024
ArabyARIZONA62021
FlorenceARIZONA51988
Imperial DamCALIFORNIA52010
Cibola LakeARIZONA22022
Red RockARIZONA22014
Red Rock 2ARIZONA22023
GlamisCALIFORNIA21977
BeattyNEVADA22024
NelsonNEVADA22016
LagunaARIZONA12023
AjoARIZONA11979
LukevilleARIZONA11977
Alamo Res.ARIZONA12017
Palo VerdeARIZONA12012
Casa GrandeARIZONA12014
Palo Verde 2ARIZONA12023
OnyxCALIFORNIA11998
Palo VerdeCALIFORNIA12023
Anza BorregoCALIFORNIA12023
LenwoodCALIFORNIA11980
TecopaCALIFORNIA12023
PearblossomCALIFORNIA11982
Lone PineCALIFORNIA12005

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.