Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow-breasted Chat In Piedmont
Yellow-breasted Chat in Piedmont has fallen sharply: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-51%Since 1968
160Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Yellow-breasted Chat has fallen sharply in Piedmont: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Piedmont is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 4.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.6 (95% range 3.3–7.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+19%Change by 2029
5.6Projected 2029 index
3.3–7.895% range
±18.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 8.0 |
| 2026 | 5.7 | 3.4 | 8.0 |
| 2027 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 7.9 |
| 2028 | 5.6 | 3.3 | 7.9 |
| 2029 | 5.6 | 3.3 | 7.8 |
Routes In Piedmont
| Liberty City | ALABAMA | 46 | 2011 |
| Nixburg 2 | ALABAMA | 35 | 2024 |
| Nixburg | ALABAMA | 28 | 1999 |
| Ft Pickett S | VIRGINIA | 27 | 1995 |
| Concord | VIRGINIA | 26 | 2024 |
| Yates Crossroads | GEORGIA | 25 | 2024 |
| Finchley | VIRGINIA | 22 | 2021 |
| Ft Pickett N | VIRGINIA | 19 | 1995 |
| Liberty City 2 | ALABAMA | 17 | 2024 |
| Wylliesburg | VIRGINIA | 17 | 2019 |
| Moran | VIRGINIA | 17 | 2024 |
| Carrs Station | GEORGIA | 16 | 2024 |
| Curry Hill | GEORGIA | 16 | 2019 |
| Uwharrie Nf | NORTH-CAROLINA | 16 | 2001 |
| Cauthens Xrd | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 16 | 2021 |
| Metasville | GEORGIA | 15 | 2000 |
| Greenwood | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 15 | 2019 |
| Lincolnton 2 | GEORGIA | 14 | 2024 |
| Lanett | ALABAMA | 13 | 2024 |
| Church Road | VIRGINIA | 13 | 2024 |
| Appomattox | VIRGINIA | 13 | 2024 |
| Millerville | ALABAMA | 12 | 2024 |
| Maxeys | GEORGIA | 12 | 2024 |
| Arcola | NORTH-CAROLINA | 12 | 2024 |
| Biscoe | NORTH-CAROLINA | 12 | 2017 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.