BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Yellow-breasted Chat In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontForest birds

Yellow-breasted Chat in Piedmont has declined: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-50%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
160Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Yellow-breasted Chat in Piedmont. See the full index history below.

Yellow-breasted Chat In Piedmont Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 5.5 (95% range 3.2–7.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+2%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.5Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.2–7.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 5.5 (95% range 3.2–7.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20265.73.47.9
20275.63.47.9
20285.63.37.8
20295.53.37.8
20305.53.27.7

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in Piedmont.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Nixburg 2ALABAMA602025
Liberty CityALABAMA462011
NixburgALABAMA281999
Liberty City 2ALABAMA282025
Ft Pickett SVIRGINIA271995
ConcordVIRGINIA262024
FinchleyVIRGINIA222021
Carrs StationGEORGIA212025
Ft Pickett NVIRGINIA191995
Yates CrossroadsGEORGIA172025
WylliesburgVIRGINIA172019
MoranVIRGINIA172025
Lincolnton 2GEORGIA162025
Curry HillGEORGIA162019
Uwharrie NfNORTH-CAROLINA162001
GreenwoodSOUTH-CAROLINA162025
Cauthens XrdSOUTH-CAROLINA162021
MetasvilleGEORGIA152000
Church RoadVIRGINIA152025
MillervilleALABAMA132025
LanettALABAMA132024
AppomattoxVIRGINIA132024
MaxeysGEORGIA122024
YoungsvilleNORTH-CAROLINA122025
GuptonNORTH-CAROLINA122025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.