BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-breasted Chat In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGeneralists

Yellow-breasted Chat in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has declined: down 37% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-37%Since 1968
66Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Yellow-breasted Chat in Mississippi Alluvial Valley. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 7.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.8 (95% range 1.9–9.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-17%Change by 2029
5.8Projected 2029 index
1.9–9.695% range
±13%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20256.22.310
20266.12.29.9
20276.02.19.8
20285.92.09.7
20295.81.99.6

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
TchulaMISSISSIPPI361975
Tchula 2MISSISSIPPI301994
Panther Swamp NwrMISSISSIPPI302018
Tchula 3MISSISSIPPI292024
TallahatchieMISSISSIPPI192024
Tensas NwrLOUISIANA162024
TippoMISSISSIPPI162024
TransylvaniaLOUISIANA152022
AtchafalayaLOUISIANA152024
EudoraARKANSAS142024
KelsoARKANSAS142016
ShawLOUISIANA142024
Warren VickMISSISSIPPI142022
Rayville 2LOUISIANA122024
MoonMISSISSIPPI122021
MaynardARKANSAS112024
GillettARKANSAS112016
EnglandARKANSAS102024
MayflowerLOUISIANA102024
IsolaMISSISSIPPI102022
South BendARKANSAS92023
RamahLOUISIANA92024
GonzalesLOUISIANA92019
Bardwell 2KENTUCKY82024
DelhiLOUISIANA82021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.