BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-breasted Chat In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGeneralists

Yellow-breasted Chat in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has risen sharply: up 52% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+52%Since 1969
110Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Yellow-breasted Chat has risen sharply in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 52% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 29% by 2029 — from 19 in 2024 to a central estimate of 25 (95% range 20–30). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+29%Change by 2029
25Projected 2029 index
20–3095% range
±22.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025241929
2026241929
2027242029
2028252030
2029252030

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
PushmatahaOKLAHOMA592023
Four LakesARKANSAS522001
Derry 2LOUISIANA522024
Lake CoveLOUISIANA522018
Flat CreekLOUISIANA512024
Dry Fork 2ARKANSAS502024
LockesburgARKANSAS492019
TroutLOUISIANA482024
GoodwaterOKLAHOMA482021
WomackLOUISIANA442024
Fort JessupLOUISIANA432023
GoodwillLOUISIANA412024
ClayLOUISIANA402024
MarionLOUISIANA401996
LinvilleLOUISIANA382024
ChathamLOUISIANA351975
Dry ForkARKANSAS342023
BethelOKLAHOMA342024
Hee MountainOKLAHOMA342024
Princeton 2ARKANSAS332022
EnterpriseLOUISIANA332024
Old MiloARKANSAS322024
HollywoodARKANSAS322024
LongstreetLOUISIANA322024
ManyLOUISIANA321992

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.