BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-breasted Chat In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieGeneralists

Yellow-breasted Chat in Shortgrass Prairie has surged: up 371% on the route-weighted index since 1981.

+371%Since 1981
33Routes In Region
44Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Yellow-breasted Chat has surged in Shortgrass Prairie: up 371% on the route-weighted index since 1981.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 30% by 2029 — from 0.37 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.48 (95% range 0.25–0.72). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+30%Change by 2029
0.48Projected 2029 index
0.25–0.7295% range
±47.9%Backtest error
19792029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.450.220.69
20260.460.230.70
20270.470.230.70
20280.480.240.71
20290.480.250.72

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in Shortgrass Prairie.
Pine RidgeNEBRASKA132024
CrawfordNEBRASKA122024
TrincheraCOLORADO72022
Doyle BridgeCOLORADO41994
Doyle Bridge 2COLORADO32023
Cooley LakeNEW-MEXICO22024
SabinosoNEW-MEXICO22019
LoganNEW-MEXICO22024
TenmileTEXAS22017
LamarCOLORADO12018
Kiowa 2COLORADO12022
Last Chance 2COLORADO12019
Fort MorganCOLORADO12023
ElbertCOLORADO12018
ArsenalCOLORADO12014
Arsenal 2COLORADO12018
LakinKANSAS12021
PaxtonNEBRASKA12015
DaltonNEBRASKA12022
BenkelmanNEBRASKA12022
Murray LakeNEBRASKA12018
BereaNEBRASKA12018
Hay SpringsNEBRASKA12024
BrownsonNEBRASKA12021
GrenvilleNEW-MEXICO11993

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.