Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow-breasted Chat In Badlands and Prairies
Yellow-breasted Chat in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 81% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+81%Since 1969
82Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Yellow-breasted Chat has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 81% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 127% by 2029 — from 0.50 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.31–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±50.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+127%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.31–2.095% range
±50.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.1 | 0.29 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.30 | 2.0 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.30 | 2.0 |
| 2028 | 1.1 | 0.31 | 2.0 |
| 2029 | 1.1 | 0.31 | 2.0 |
Routes In Badlands and Prairies
| Tobacco | NORTH-DAKOTA | 29 | 2019 |
| Roosevelt Pk | NORTH-DAKOTA | 25 | 2019 |
| Forsyth | MONTANA | 8 | 2023 |
| Reed Point | MONTANA | 8 | 2024 |
| Badlands | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 8 | 2022 |
| Schoonover | WYOMING | 8 | 2023 |
| St Xavier | MONTANA | 6 | 2011 |
| Rosebud | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 6 | 2010 |
| Rockyford | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 6 | 2022 |
| Savage | MONTANA | 5 | 2021 |
| Brandenberg | MONTANA | 5 | 2019 |
| Custer | MONTANA | 4 | 2022 |
| Gorham | NORTH-DAKOTA | 4 | 2018 |
| Reva | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 4 | 2024 |
| Laplant | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2013 |
| Custer | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2024 |
| Cedar Pass | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2015 |
| Wind Cave Np | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2024 |
| Brusett | MONTANA | 2 | 2024 |
| Jordan | MONTANA | 2 | 2024 |
| Shawmut | MONTANA | 2 | 1990 |
| Powderville | MONTANA | 2 | 2007 |
| St Xavier 2 | MONTANA | 2 | 2023 |
| Lindsay | MONTANA | 2 | 2016 |
| Hehn Draw | MONTANA | 2 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.