Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-breasted Chat In Badlands and Prairies

Yellow-breasted Chat in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 81% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+81%Since 1969
82Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Yellow-breasted Chat has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 81% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 127% by 2029 — from 0.50 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.31–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±50.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+127%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.312.095% range
±50.5%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.10.291.9
20261.10.302.0
20271.10.302.0
20281.10.312.0
20291.10.312.0

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in Badlands and Prairies.
TobaccoNORTH-DAKOTA292019
Roosevelt PkNORTH-DAKOTA252019
ForsythMONTANA82023
Reed PointMONTANA82024
BadlandsSOUTH-DAKOTA82022
SchoonoverWYOMING82023
St XavierMONTANA62011
RosebudSOUTH-DAKOTA62010
RockyfordSOUTH-DAKOTA62022
SavageMONTANA52021
BrandenbergMONTANA52019
CusterMONTANA42022
GorhamNORTH-DAKOTA42018
RevaSOUTH-DAKOTA42024
LaplantSOUTH-DAKOTA32013
CusterSOUTH-DAKOTA32024
Cedar PassSOUTH-DAKOTA32015
Wind Cave NpSOUTH-DAKOTA32024
BrusettMONTANA22024
JordanMONTANA22024
ShawmutMONTANA21990
PowdervilleMONTANA22007
St Xavier 2MONTANA22023
LindsayMONTANA22016
Hehn DrawMONTANA22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.