Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow-breasted Chat In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain
Yellow-breasted Chat in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has collapsed: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-94%Since 1968
36Routes In Region
53Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Yellow-breasted Chat has collapsed in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±172.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.01Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1795% range
±172.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.19 |
| 2026 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| 2027 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| 2028 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| 2029 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain
| Hebron | OHIO | 5 | 2015 |
| Branchport | NEW-YORK | 3 | 1973 |
| Maysville | OHIO | 3 | 2010 |
| E Youngstown | NEW-YORK | 2 | 1976 |
| Herner Crns | OHIO | 2 | 1987 |
| Sugar Grove | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 1982 |
| Rhinebeck | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1966 |
| Romulus | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1975 |
| Orleans | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1977 |
| Canadice L | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1971 |
| Mt Morris | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1983 |
| Hamburg | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1980 |
| Sheridan | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1975 |
| Cherry Hill | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1985 |
| Churchville | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1983 |
| Penfield | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1972 |
| Cicero Ctr | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1968 |
| Ogdensburg | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1996 |
| Naples | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1977 |
| Pittsfield | OHIO | 1 | 2018 |
| Wayland | OHIO | 1 | 2000 |
| Garrettsvile | OHIO | 1 | 1988 |
| Middlefield | OHIO | 1 | 1997 |
| Strongsville | OHIO | 1 | 1995 |
| Lenox | OHIO | 1 | 1980 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.