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Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wood Thrush In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasForest birds

Wood Thrush in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has declined: down 25% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-25%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
104Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wood Thrush in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

Wood Thrush In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wood Thrush in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 49% by 2030 — from 5.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 0.64–4.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.8%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-49%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.7Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.64–4.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±57.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wood Thrush in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 49% by 2030 — from 5.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 0.64–4.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.8%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.80.784.9
20272.80.744.9
20282.80.714.8
20292.70.674.8
20302.70.644.8

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Wood Thrush in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
PocolaOKLAHOMA222006
Old MiloARKANSAS202025
LinvilleLOUISIANA192025
Magazine MtnARKANSAS162025
ChathamLOUISIANA141975
BlakelyARKANSAS131999
SpringhillARKANSAS132022
Hatfield 2ARKANSAS132025
Flat CreekLOUISIANA132025
Fort JessupLOUISIANA132023
DibollTEXAS132025
Pine PrairieLOUISIANA121997
GoodwillLOUISIANA122025
Mount UnionLOUISIANA112025
Burr FerryLOUISIANA102025
GraysonLOUISIANA102021
EnterpriseLOUISIANA102025
Lake CoveLOUISIANA102018
Alexander StTEXAS102025
Locust BayouARKANSAS92023
TroutLOUISIANA92025
Big Sandy BithTEXAS92024
AshdownARKANSAS82023
Princeton 2ARKANSAS82022
OakdaleLOUISIANA81994

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.