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Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wood Thrush In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasForest birds

Wood Thrush in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has edged down: down 25% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-25%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
104Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wood Thrush in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

Wood Thrush In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wood Thrush in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 41% by 2029 — from 4.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.5 (95% range 0.56–4.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-41%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.5Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.56–4.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±52.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wood Thrush in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 41% by 2029 — from 4.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.5 (95% range 0.56–4.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.70.724.7
20262.70.684.6
20272.60.644.6
20282.60.604.5
20292.50.564.5

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Wood Thrush in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
PocolaOKLAHOMA222006
Fishville 2LOUISIANA152024
ChathamLOUISIANA141975
BlakelyARKANSAS131999
SpringhillARKANSAS132022
Burr FerryLOUISIANA132024
Fort JessupLOUISIANA132023
Old MiloARKANSAS122024
ClayLOUISIANA122024
Pine PrairieLOUISIANA121997
LinvilleLOUISIANA112024
GoodwillLOUISIANA112024
GraysonLOUISIANA102021
Lake CoveLOUISIANA102018
Locust BayouARKANSAS92023
StephensARKANSAS92024
Flat CreekLOUISIANA92024
DibollTEXAS92024
Big Sandy BithTEXAS92024
AshdownARKANSAS82023
Princeton 2ARKANSAS82022
TroutLOUISIANA82024
OakdaleLOUISIANA81994
FishvilleLOUISIANA72017
EvelynLOUISIANA72024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.