BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wood Thrush In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

All regionsLower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence PlainForest birds

Wood Thrush in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-55%Since 1968
86Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Wood Thrush has fallen sharply in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wood Thrush in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 4.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.6 (95% range 0.44–6.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-17%Change by 2029
3.6Projected 2029 index
0.44–6.895% range
±14%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.31.17.4
20264.10.957.3
20273.90.787.1
20283.80.616.9
20293.60.446.8

Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

Routes recording Wood Thrush in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain.
Ballston LkNEW-YORK291995
CatskillsNEW-YORK232015
Cicero CtrNEW-YORK222024
CayugaNEW-YORK192024
HinesburgVERMONT191994
Alder CreekNEW-YORK152004
AkeleyPENNSYLVANIA151979
NashvilleNEW-YORK142018
SalemNEW-YORK132024
N VictoryNEW-YORK131972
North EastonNEW-YORK122024
N WilmurtNEW-YORK111998
HarmonsburgPENNSYLVANIA102023
HarrisvillePENNSYLVANIA102023
RomulusNEW-YORK92000
HebronOHIO92024
Sugar GrovePENNSYLVANIA92024
MacdougallNEW-YORK82023
Cherry HillNEW-YORK82019
PhiladelphiaNEW-YORK82024
RhinebeckNEW-YORK72024
W ShokanNEW-YORK72019
MendonNEW-YORK72017
WatertownNEW-YORK72012
FowlerNEW-YORK71968

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.