BirdAnalyst
Species · Louisiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wood Stork Population Trend in Louisiana

All statesGeneralists

Wood Stork in Louisiana has declined: down 25% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

-25%Since 1977TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
18Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
22YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wood Stork Trends in LouisianaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wood Stork in Louisiana. See the full index history below.

Wood Stork Population Forecast in Louisiana

If the recent trend holds, Wood Stork in Louisiana is projected to rise about 49× by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.8 (95% range 0.00–21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±5246.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

49×Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.8Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–2195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±5246.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wood Stork in Louisiana is projected to rise about 49× by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.8 (95% range 0.00–21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±5246.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19702029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20254.60.0021
20264.70.0021
20274.70.0021
20284.70.0021
20294.80.0021

Wood Stork Survey Routes in Louisiana

Routes recording Wood Stork in Louisiana.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Kaplan48020102009
Esther37820142001
Berwick12020102000
Enterprise4420132013
Maurice4020192004
Franklinton3320182018
Gran Chenier2519701970
Cypress1919871987
Natchitoches1919871987
Shaw1420141972
Lafitte1119781978
Woodlawn920212021
Atchafalaya820032003
Forked Island 2420102010
Richard320162010
Forked Island320242014
Ltl Chenier120132000
Port Allen120242004

Wood Stork Population Trend in Other States

alabamacaliforniafloridageorgiamississippinorth-carolinasouth-carolinatexas

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.