BirdAnalyst
Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wood Stork Population Trend in Florida

All statesGeneralists

Wood Stork in Florida has declined: down 49% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-49%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
92Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wood Stork Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wood Stork in Florida. See the full index history below.

Wood Stork Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Wood Stork in Florida is projected to rise about 228% by 2029 — from 0.30 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.98 (95% range 0.00–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±181.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+228%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.98Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–2.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±181.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wood Stork in Florida is projected to rise about 228% by 2029 — from 0.30 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.98 (95% range 0.00–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±181.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.990.002.4
20260.990.002.4
20270.980.002.3
20280.980.002.3
20290.980.002.3

Wood Stork Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Wood Stork in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Dale Mabry4919881969
Sandy4220151987
Tamiami1519701970
Deanville1220191988
Devils Gardn1120221987
Pleasant Grove 21020112011
Shawano 2820112004
Chassahowitz820152013
St Lucie720181996
Croom620131987
Corbett620241995
Babcock Rnch619891988
Doctors Inlet 2520172016
Lovedale520112003
Olustee520191992
Belmont420051969
Pinecrest420211972
Indiantown420141968
Ft Mccoy420181991
Arbuckle420191987
Goethe420162011
Webb420241993
St Augustine320231970
Winter Gardn320192005
Shawano320011994

Wood Stork Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.