Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Wood Duck In Peninsular Florida
Wood Duck in Peninsular Florida has collapsed: down 87% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-87%Since 1968
50Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Wood Duck has collapsed in Peninsular Florida: down 87% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Wood Duck in Peninsular Florida is projected to rise about 23% by 2029 — from 0.16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.19 (95% range 0.00–0.88). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±318.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+23%Change by 2029
0.19Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.8895% range
±318.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.94 |
| 2026 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.93 |
| 2027 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.91 |
| 2028 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| 2029 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.88 |
Routes In Peninsular Florida
| Wildernes Pk | FLORIDA | 9 | 2014 |
| Kenansville | FLORIDA | 7 | 1998 |
| Palmdale | FLORIDA | 7 | 2004 |
| Gardner | FLORIDA | 6 | 1999 |
| Scottsmoor | FLORIDA | 5 | 2024 |
| Lake Buffum | FLORIDA | 5 | 2021 |
| Crewsville | FLORIDA | 5 | 2000 |
| Dale Mabry | FLORIDA | 4 | 1987 |
| Ft Lonesome | FLORIDA | 4 | 2008 |
| Pinecrest | FLORIDA | 4 | 1974 |
| Nobleton | FLORIDA | 4 | 2016 |
| Sandy | FLORIDA | 4 | 2006 |
| Island Grove | FLORIDA | 4 | 2021 |
| Mabel 2 | FLORIDA | 4 | 2017 |
| Belmore | FLORIDA | 3 | 2022 |
| Childs | FLORIDA | 3 | 2021 |
| Kissimmee | FLORIDA | 3 | 2014 |
| Mt. Olive | FLORIDA | 3 | 2012 |
| Green Swamp | FLORIDA | 3 | 2011 |
| Micanopy | FLORIDA | 2 | 1978 |
| Mabel | FLORIDA | 2 | 2011 |
| Alturas | FLORIDA | 2 | 1986 |
| Andytown | FLORIDA | 2 | 1983 |
| Deanville | FLORIDA | 2 | 2016 |
| Pleasant Gr | FLORIDA | 2 | 2007 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.