BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wood Duck In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsWaterfowl

Wood Duck in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 168% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+168%Since 1968
129Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Wood Duck has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 168% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wood Duck in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 63% by 2029 — from 0.31 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.51 (95% range 0.09–0.93). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+63%Change by 2029
0.51Projected 2029 index
0.09–0.9395% range
±69.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.500.080.92
20260.500.090.92
20270.500.090.92
20280.510.090.92
20290.510.090.93

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Wood Duck in Central Hardwoods.
MincyMISSOURI102024
Buena VistaKENTUCKY82017
MorganfieldKENTUCKY82024
Lewis ForestTENNESSEE82019
Lebanon JunctionKENTUCKY72010
PeytonsvilleTENNESSEE72021
GlenTENNESSEE72023
East UnionKENTUCKY62022
Million 2KENTUCKY62019
PimentoINDIANA52022
Sulphur LickKENTUCKY52023
McbrayerKENTUCKY51986
WhitewaterMISSOURI52014
Valhermoso SpgsALABAMA42008
BelmontINDIANA42001
DixieKENTUCKY41983
BennettMISSOURI42024
BarksMISSOURI42012
BelknapILLINOIS32023
EvansvilleINDIANA32006
MillionKENTUCKY31981
GoshenKENTUCKY31990
SwedenMISSOURI32016
WescoMISSOURI31988
MarshfieldMISSOURI32017

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.