Species · BCR 4 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Wilson's Warbler In BCR 4
Wilson's Warbler in BCR 4 has edged up: up 22% on the route-weighted index since 1978.
+22%Since 1978
68Routes In Region
45Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Wilson's Warbler in BCR 4. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Warbler in BCR 4 is projected to rise about 32% by 2029 — from 9.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 12 (95% range 4.9–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±50.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+32%Change by 2029
12Projected 2029 index
4.9–1995% range
±50.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12 | 4.8 | 19 |
| 2026 | 12 | 4.8 | 19 |
| 2027 | 12 | 4.8 | 19 |
| 2028 | 12 | 4.9 | 19 |
| 2029 | 12 | 4.9 | 19 |
Routes In BCR 4
| Toklat | ALASKA | 73 | 2024 |
| Savage | ALASKA | 54 | 2024 |
| Maclaren | ALASKA | 42 | 2024 |
| Homer | ALASKA | 42 | 1982 |
| Paxson Lake | ALASKA | 37 | 1997 |
| Circle | ALASKA | 26 | 2024 |
| Caribou Mtn. | ALASKA | 21 | 2024 |
| Monahan | ALASKA | 19 | 2021 |
| Pinoche Tral (Short) | ALASKA | 18 | 1984 |
| Delta | ALASKA | 17 | 2024 |
| Kenny Lake | ALASKA | 14 | 2023 |
| Chena River | ALASKA | 11 | 1988 |
| Hatcher Pass | ALASKA | 11 | 2024 |
| Cantwell | ALASKA | 10 | 2021 |
| Goose Bay | ALASKA | 10 | 1982 |
| Kanuti Lake | ALASKA | 10 | 2024 |
| Nabesna Road | ALASKA | 10 | 2024 |
| Chatanika R | ALASKA | 9 | 2023 |
| Nebesna | ALASKA | 9 | 1975 |
| Donelly Dome | ALASKA | 9 | 2019 |
| Tatalina | ALASKA | 8 | 2019 |
| Lake Louise | ALASKA | 7 | 2014 |
| Unalakleet River | ALASKA | 7 | 2024 |
| Mt. Fairplay | ALASKA | 7 | 2024 |
| Anvik River | ALASKA | 7 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.