Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Wilson's Plover Population Trend in Texas
Wilson's Plover in Texas has held roughly steady: down 4% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
-4%Since 1971
10Routes In State
40Years
Notable Wilson's Plover Trends in Texas
No notable trend signals for Wilson's Plover in Texas. See the full index history below.
Wilson's Plover Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Plover in Texas is projected to fall about 66% by 2028 — from 0.06 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.05). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±49.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-66%Change by 2028
0.02Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.0595% range
±49.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2025 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| 2026 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| 2027 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| 2028 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
Wilson's Plover Survey Routes in Texas
| L. Atascosa Nwr | 8 | 2023 | 1998 |
| Kingsville | 2 | 1988 | 1971 |
| Bayside 3 | 2 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Lag Atascosa | 1 | 1994 | 1969 |
| Padre Island Pais | 1 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Indianola | 1 | 2010 | 2003 |
| Loyola Beach | 1 | 2008 | 2008 |
| Oyster Lake | 1 | 2019 | 1997 |
| Loyola Beach 2 | 1 | 2022 | 2010 |
| Bayside 2 | 1 | 2001 | 2001 |
Wilson's Plover Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.