BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wild Turkey In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionGame birds

Wild Turkey in Prairie Hardwood Transition has surged: up 159× on the route-weighted index since 1972.

159×Since 1972TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
142Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
49YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wild Turkey in Prairie Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

Wild Turkey In Prairie Hardwood Transition Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 14% by 2030 — from 3.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.1 (95% range 2.9–5.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+14%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.1Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.9–5.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±15.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 14% by 2030 — from 3.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.1 (95% range 2.9–5.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.82.65.0
20273.92.65.1
20283.92.75.1
20294.02.85.2
20304.12.95.3

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
PrincetonMINNESOTA222025
DeckervilleMICHIGAN202024
GalesburgMICHIGAN192024
ParisWISCONSIN182025
CascoWISCONSIN152025
Omro 2WISCONSIN152025
PrincetonWISCONSIN142024
Packertown 2INDIANA132025
Chippewa Lk.MICHIGAN132025
MinnetonkaMINNESOTA132025
New BuffaloMICHIGAN122014
Beaver DamWISCONSIN122023
BeloitWISCONSIN122025
ClintonvilleWISCONSIN112025
BrownsvilleWISCONSIN112025
BriggsvilleWISCONSIN112025
KnoxINDIANA102025
MontereyMICHIGAN92024
Barry S.G.A. 2MICHIGAN92019
EdenWISCONSIN92025
New TroyMICHIGAN82024
St CharlesMICHIGAN82019
Brook ParkMINNESOTA82024
WhitewaterMINNESOTA82000
Wis RapidsWISCONSIN82023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.