BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wild Turkey In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestGame birds

Wild Turkey in Atlantic Northern Forest has surged: up 85× on the route-weighted index since 1975.

85×Since 1975TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
114Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
46YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wild Turkey in Atlantic Northern Forest. See the full index history below.

Wild Turkey In Atlantic Northern Forest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 1.7 (95% range 1.1–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-4%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.7Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.1–2.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±25.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 1.7 (95% range 1.1–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19692030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.50.982.1
20271.61.02.1
20281.61.12.2
20291.71.12.2
20301.71.12.2

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Atlantic Northern Forest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
AndoverMAINE152021
RomeMAINE132023
S HoriconNEW-YORK132016
Gilmantn I WNEW-HAMPSHIRE122025
InletNEW-YORK102017
HartfordMAINE82025
WilmotNEW-HAMPSHIRE82024
Mt ChocoruaNEW-HAMPSHIRE72021
GreensboroVERMONT72025
MontereyMASSACHUSETTS62025
PeterboroughNEW-HAMPSHIRE62025
HighmarketNEW-YORK62024
DegrasseNEW-YORK62025
St JohnsburyVERMONT62025
GreenwoodMAINE52019
HancockMAINE52025
DebloisMAINE52007
Northfield 2MAINE52022
StacyvilleMAINE52023
SearsportMAINE52023
BrownfieldMAINE52009
N OrangeMASSACHUSETTS52025
WanakenaNEW-YORK52025
SciotaNEW-YORK51998
S WallingfrdVERMONT52022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.