BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

White-winged Dove In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieGeneralists

White-winged Dove in Gulf Coastal Prairie has declined: down 42% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

-42%Since 1971TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
30Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
49YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for White-winged Dove in Gulf Coastal Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to fall about 86% by 2029 — from 3.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.45 (95% range 0.00–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±102.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-86%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.45Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±102.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to fall about 86% by 2029 — from 3.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.45 (95% range 0.00–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±102.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.890.0013
20260.780.0013
20270.670.0013
20280.560.0013
20290.450.0013

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording White-winged Dove in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
StowellTEXAS362021
Loyola Beach 2TEXAS342023
Lag AtascosaTEXAS222024
Port AcresTEXAS122024
Oyster LakeTEXAS82024
Bayside 3TEXAS82024
Ville PlatteLOUISIANA72017
HackberryLOUISIANA42013
Forked IslandLOUISIANA42024
IndianolaTEXAS42024
Loyola BeachTEXAS42009
Vinton 2LOUISIANA32024
Ltl ChenierLOUISIANA22024
Hackberry 2LOUISIANA22021
ChinquapinTEXAS22023
San PedroTEXAS22016
GlencoeLOUISIANA12015
EstherLOUISIANA12023
MauriceLOUISIANA12024
KaplanLOUISIANA12011
Grand IsleLOUISIANA12014
WoodlawnLOUISIANA12021
PetronilaTEXAS12024
WinnieTEXAS12018
DanburyTEXAS12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.