BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

White-winged Dove In Tamaulipan Brushlands

All regionsTamaulipan BrushlandsGeneralists

White-winged Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands has surged: up 294% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+294%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
28Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

White-winged Dove has surged in Tamaulipan Brushlands: up 293% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

White-winged Dove In Tamaulipan Brushlands Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to rise about 29% by 2030 — from 15 in 2025 to a central estimate of 20 (95% range 11–28). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+29%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
20Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
11–2895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±32.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to rise about 29% by 2030 — from 15 in 2025 to a central estimate of 20 (95% range 11–28). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026191027
2027191027
2028191127
2029191128
2030201128

Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands

Routes recording White-winged Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
George WestTEXAS702025
EncinalTEXAS412010
KingsvilleTEXAS402024
La PryorTEXAS382017
El SauzTEXAS282023
SejitaTEXAS242024
GuerraTEXAS222025
San YgnacioTEXAS201985
RaymondvilleTEXAS192025
Cavasara Cr.TEXAS172025
ZapataTEXAS161987
LaredoTEXAS122023
HondoTEXAS102025
RandadoTEXAS92025
RachalTEXAS72025
Encinal 2TEXAS72025
Agua NuevaTEXAS42023
Mirando CityTEXAS42025
ProgresoTEXAS42011
CatarinaTEXAS32010
HeidelbergTEXAS32024
El IndioTEXAS22007
Catarina 2TEXAS22017
Catarina 3TEXAS22025
Pedro CreekTEXAS22010

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.