BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

White-winged Dove In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGeneralists

White-winged Dove in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 19× on the route-weighted index since 2008.

19×Since 2008TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
13Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
19YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for White-winged Dove in Mississippi Alluvial Valley. See the full index history below.

White-winged Dove In Mississippi Alluvial Valley Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 53% by 2030 — from 0.33 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.51 (95% range 0.25–0.77). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±77.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+53%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.51Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.25–0.7795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±77.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 53% by 2030 — from 0.33 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.51 (95% range 0.25–0.77). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±77.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.20002030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.430.170.69
20270.450.190.71
20280.470.210.73
20290.490.230.75
20300.510.250.77

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording White-winged Dove in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
MayflowerLOUISIANA62025
Baton RougeLOUISIANA42025
River RoadLOUISIANA32024
ShawLOUISIANA22014
BrousvilleLOUISIANA22025
BerwickLOUISIANA22013
KelsoARKANSAS12016
FreetownLOUISIANA12009
RoselandLOUISIANA12000
KeystoneLOUISIANA12010
BelairLOUISIANA12007
ConcordLOUISIANA12018
Port AllenLOUISIANA12022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.