BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

White-winged Dove In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGeneralists

White-winged Dove in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 20× on the route-weighted index since 2008.

20×Since 2008TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
13Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
18YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

White-winged Dove has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 20× on the route-weighted index since 2008.

White-winged Dove In Mississippi Alluvial Valley Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 0.58 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.52 (95% range 0.25–0.78). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±82.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-11%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.52Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.25–0.7895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±82.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 0.58 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.52 (95% range 0.25–0.78). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±82.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.20002029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.430.160.70
20260.450.180.72
20270.470.200.74
20280.490.230.76
20290.520.250.78

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording White-winged Dove in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
BrousvilleLOUISIANA122024
River RoadLOUISIANA32024
ShawLOUISIANA22014
MayflowerLOUISIANA22024
BerwickLOUISIANA22013
Baton RougeLOUISIANA22024
KelsoARKANSAS12016
FreetownLOUISIANA12009
RoselandLOUISIANA12000
KeystoneLOUISIANA12010
BelairLOUISIANA12007
ConcordLOUISIANA12018
Port AllenLOUISIANA12022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.